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Battleground London: the London constituencies where your vote could matter most

Posted at 8:00 am, May 7, 2015 in News
Election Map

Every vote counts! Alexi Duggins looks at the key London constituencies where your ballot could make a massive difference.

1. Hendon

Who’s in now? Matthew Offord, Conservative. This is the big one for Mili and pals, as Labour would need just 100 votes to take back a seat that was theirs for 12 years until 2010. We can’t see Ukip doing too well here: their candidate has only been in place since the end of March, when the previous Ukipper was sacked for suggesting that Israel should kidnap Barack Obama. As you do.

How close is it? Incredibly. Labour only need a 0.1 percent surge in support to win. Which, when you think about it, is so tiny that you’d normally round it down to zero.

Voter power The Hendon electorate have 3.1 times more power than the average voter, nationally*.

2. Hornsey and Wood Green

Who’s in now? Lynne Featherstone, Lib Dem, who’s facing a fight from Labour candidate Catherine West. Ed Miliband has been pressing the flesh here in recent weeks, and staunch Labour campaigner Eddie Izzard has been pounding the pavements alongside their wannabe MP.

How close is it? It’s a likely Labour victory, but it’s still all to play for. So much so that in March the chairman of Tottenham’s Conservative Party, Justin Hinchcliffe, was suspended for encouraging people to vote Lib Dem in his neighbouring constituency in an ‘anything-but-Labour’ plea.

Voter power Hornsey and Wood Green voters match the national average.

3. Hampstead and Kilburn

Who’s in now? Glenda Jackson, Labour. At the 2010 election, the result in Hampstead and Kilburn was tighter than a London Bridge ticket barrier. It’s among the narrowest majorities in the whole country – expect the Tories to be pushing hard to take it.

How close is it? Ludicrously. Last time, Labour won by just 42 votes. According to Betfred, more money’s been put on the result in this constituency than any other. Though possibly because residents here simply have more money.

Voter power Three times the national average.

4. Streatham

Who’s in now? Chuka Umunna, Labour. In 2010, Umunna was a newbie with the Lib Dems snapping at his heels. Since then he’s shown his face to every TV camera going , while Nick Clegg’s party has performed the political equivalent of going: ‘I wonder what happens if I press this big button marked “Do Not Press”?’

How close is it? The Lib Dems would need a 3.5 percent increase in their 2010 share to nab this seat off Labour’s Shadow Business Secretary. Probably not going to happen. Voter power One point seven times the national average.

Voter power Two point four times the national average.

5. Tooting

Who’s in now? Sadiq Khan, Labour. A 15-year veteran who’s as much part of the political landscape as baby-kissing and creative expenses claims. Last time round the Tories were within a hair’s breadth of pinching his parliamentary seat. Cheeky!

How close is it? A 2.5 percent swing from Labour to the Tories would turn this seat blue. But given that Tooting hasn’t had a single non-Labour MP since it became a constituency in 1974, it might not end up being quite as dramatic as that sounds.

Voter power Twice the national average.

6. Hammersmith

Who’s in now? Andy Slaughter, Labour. This wonderfully named MP, who is tragically not also a pro wrestler, has been voted in twice before. The Tory hopeful, Charlie Dewhirst, is going big on Labour’s proposed ‘mansion tax’, and how it will hit west Londoners fortunate enough to own valuable properties. Or, as we like to call it, a bit of Klass war.

How close is it? Moderately. There’d need to be a fairly chunky leap in the Tory vote to see Slaughter slaughtered.

Voter power One point seven times the national average.

7. Brent Central

Who’s in now? Sarah Teather, Lib Dem. The Liberal Democrats’ electoral chances here have suffered a body blow: one of the party’s brightest young stars, Teather has decided not to stand for re-election due to being ‘frustrated and disappointed’ with Cleggers’s cabinet antics (the name of a play we’d like to see someone write).

How close is it? It depends how seriously you take media talk about the impending death of the Lib Dems. Labour only need a 1.5 percent swing in the vote to win, and it could be a lot more than that.

Voter power Two point four times the national average.

Check out our musical election guide.

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